personal
computer was the development of the graphic display terminal as the primary
form of human to computer interaction. The paradigm for such interaction
evolved through a number of government funded, university enacted projects.
From a chain of development at MIT, the Stanford Research Laboratory and Xerox’s
PARC finally emerged the Apple Lisa computer with a highly intuitive graphical
user interface.
The Lisa is
probably more appropriately viewed as representative of an intermediate step between
mini-computers and personal computers, the scientific workstation. Such
machines were, in general, mini-computers packaged with a high-definition
screen. However, they were priced in the same range as a mini-computer, and
couldn’t compete with personal computers. They nevertheless served a useful
purpose, as many concepts found in personal computers, such as windowing
interfaces, were first developed and experimented with on scientific
workstations. In fact, the Apple Macintosh did emerge from this path as a true
personal computer.
One innovation
of scientific workstations was networking. Local networking (Ethernet) was
developed at Xerox and would prove to be so forward thinking that it is still
at the base of today’s local networks, not only wired, as they were at the
time, but also wireless, such as Wi-Fi. Local networks would assemble into the
Internet, a worldwide standard with the most successful network protocol in
history, TCP/IP, the Transmission Control Protocol/Internet Protocol.
With personal
computers, history played differently than with mainframe and mini-computers
because by the time personal computers appeared, the market players had learned
from past experience and would not let one company dominate the hardware
supply. So Compaq, Dell, Gateway, IBM and others shared the market. However,
two companies, each in its field, ended up dominating personal computers. In
microprocessors, Intel took the same overwhelming lead that had been previously
taken by IBM with mainframes and by Digital Equipment with mini-computers. In
software, Microsoft did the same with operating systems and key applications.
In passing, let’s note that unlike IBM, which survived both the mini-computer
and personal computer attacks on their business, Digital Equipment died
spectacularly for having ignored the personal computer capability to replace
mini-computers. Its death knell was marked by the supposed utterance of Ken
Olsen, founder and CEO of Digital in 1977 that there is no reason for people to
have a computer at home. When he realized his mistake, he tried to launch his
own line of personal computers along the same proprietary lines as his
mini-computers. It was too late; the game had changed.
The fourth epoch
of computers is comprised of machines that most people don’t even think of as
computers. We might even say that they don’t think of them as belonging to any
particular category. They are just useful day-to-day tools that have clear
functions and make life easier. They are our personal electronic devices. They
number in the billions, and some of them are already priced in the $20
dollar range or less (some are free), in this case 100 times cheaper
than personal computers in time-adjusted dollars.
They are trusted,
in that they are assumed to be always available when needed and to perform the
functions they are used for flawlessly, and they are personal, in that
they are portable, belong to one person, and may be secured against forbidden
usage by others. As we’ll see, they have also started to expand beyond the
person, as there are new forms of trusted personal devices which
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